Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 96.819297 106.991744 117.353680 128.673355 140.666341 152.970249 166.523089
2026-01-11 81.737415 96.983627 113.185441 131.577753 151.772556 173.172608 197.465508
2026-01-18 69.718926 88.562895 109.397095 133.875836 161.592790 191.764546 226.854781
2026-01-25 55.787328 76.283712 99.910313 128.650937 162.181909 199.619540 244.137688
2026-02-01 45.766441 67.308594 93.158963 125.629912 164.537605 208.942556 262.745638
2026-02-08 38.556956 60.858550 88.657579 124.610687 168.716504 220.012502 283.153640
2026-02-15 33.589956 56.647129 86.404887 125.895271 175.328312 233.737100 306.574681
2026-02-22 30.628850 54.734028 86.784386 130.235944 185.524629 251.680189 335.024013
2026-03-01 27.239585 51.806792 85.511662 132.216143 192.625284 265.809899 358.928210
2026-03-08 23.412381 47.778653 82.385926 131.476954 196.071848 275.334063 377.208390
2026-03-15 20.941539 45.497802 81.439397 133.438873 202.836215 288.880205 400.371007
2026-03-22 19.417779 44.524425 82.215548 137.638248 212.455522 305.991864 427.970383
2026-03-29 17.429259 42.615181 81.560610 139.894888 219.657791 320.295921 452.461710
2026-04-05 15.930798 41.363240 81.769426 143.297419 228.378675 336.584901 479.552101
2026-04-12 14.399643 39.861822 81.474755 145.912875 236.028706 351.546336 505.085302
2026-04-19 11.367976 35.115165 75.788396 140.492517 232.600566 352.127945 512.457231
2026-04-26 9.207542 31.657811 71.843668 137.351369 232.077488 356.319926 524.291241
2026-05-03 7.694015 29.253997 69.418456 136.302609 234.326573 364.057301 540.607627
2026-05-10 6.732862 27.897307 68.648011 137.679446 239.927201 376.201240 562.603770
2026-05-17 6.316522 27.761307 69.972795 142.282943 250.121376 394.493961 592.615795
2026-05-24 5.613128 26.782991 69.722302 144.383036 256.733067 408.031761 616.536043
2026-05-31 4.654642 24.916978 67.715954 143.603975 259.138446 415.901817 633.101329
2026-06-07 4.114042 24.073501 67.527765 145.680777 265.658875 429.323055 656.944153